Friday, April 27, 2012

Macedonia's Plea for a Seat in NATO Falls on Busy Ears

By THOM SHANKER

WASHINGTON – More than two decades after an independent Macedonia was born from the bloody ethnic wars in the Balkans, its desire to join NATO remains stalled by an old question: “What’s in a name?”

Greece, an alliance member since 1952, was vehemently opposed to initial desires of its neighbor to adopt the name Republic of Macedonia, saying it implied territorial claims to the Greek province of the same name, an assertion Macedonia has publicly disavowed.

To remove that hurdle, the government in the capital, Skopje, years ago said the country would apply to international organizations under an interim name until the bilateral dispute was resolved. It has since joined the United Nations and applied to NATO and the European Union as the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, a name usually reduced to its acronym, Fyrom.

But as NATO presidents and prime ministers prepare for a summit meeting next month in Chicago, the ascent of new members is not even on the agenda. Meetings will focus on the future of the alliance war effort in Afghanistan – mostly how to end it — and ways to reshape member militaries around a concept called “smart defense.”

Macedonia’s foreign minister, Nikola Poposki, is in Washington this week to make the case for Fyrom. He cites a list of statistics to prove that his tiny nation – with just 2 million people – already is giving more than its fair share to NATO missions, even as just an aspirant to membership.

On a per-capita basis, Macedonia is the fifth-largest contributor of forces to the NATO mission in Afghanistan, providing about 175 people responsible for providing security around the NATO headquarters in Kabul and across the Afghan capital’s diplomatic zone, which includes the American Embassy. Macedonian troops also are training Afghan security forces.

The effort eats up about 10 percent of the republic’s defense budget. (Macedonia previously contributed about 500 troops to the American-led effort in Iraq.)

“We are an exporter of security forces to NATO,” Mr. Poposki said in an interview on Thursday. “But we are in the waiting room for membership.”

He pledged that Macedonian troops would remain in Afghanistan until the formal end of the NATO mission, now set for December 2014, and said that there was no pressure in Parliament for an early withdrawal, as there is in some member nations.

He said Greece’s security would be only enhanced by dropping its objections, as adding a NATO member to its borders would bind Macedonia to all the articles of the alliance’s mutual-defense pact. “We are no threat to the territorial integrity of Greece,” Mr. Poposki said.

There are few indications of movement on the issue, however. Greece is in the midst of a financial crisis, hoping to avoid becoming the first member nation of the European economic zone to default.

In such an environment, there is little incentive within the Greek political system to resolve an international dispute over its neighbor.

Macedonia's Plea for a Seat in NATO Falls on Busy Ears - NYTimes.com

Adel Imam, Egypt's favorite funnyman, dodges a bullet

By Dan Murphy, Staff writer / April 26, 2012

Adel Imam, arguably Egypt and the Arab world's most famous comedic actor, had his conviction for 'insulting Islam' overturned today. But another was upheld earlier this week.

In this November 2005 file photo, Egyptian film actor and comedian Adel Imam walks with Egyptian actress Laila Elwi during the Second Dubai International Film Festival red carpet reception in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Aziz Shah/AP/File

The Egyptian Adel Imam is the Arab world's most beloved comic actor. Yet now in his 70s, at the end of a glittering career, he's faced trial for "insulting Islam" in a number of his film roles.

He's now 1 for 2 in court cases against him. An appeals court this week upheld a three-month jail sentence given to Mr. Imam in February 2011, shortly after Hosni Mubarak was pushed out of office, while another court found him and a number of other movie figures not guilty on a separate set of similar charges yesterday. He hasn't appeared at any of the hearings against him, and it's hard to imagine him going to jail while senior regime figures, among them Hosni Mubarak, remain free.

Imam, with his elastic face that can simultaneously seem mournful and ridiculous, has been a bumbling Arab everyman in more than 50 films down the years. Though many of them have been forgettable slapstick romps, a few are considered modern Egyptian classics. Like an Egyptian Bill Murray, he's played more serious roles as he's gotten older, most famously "The Yacoubian Building" in 2006, where he appears as the central character, an aging womanizer in a movie about corruption and the disappointments of Egypt since the 1952 revolution.

The cases against him can in some ways be seen as Islamist versions of nuisance suits. Amnesty International points out that a long-standing article in Egypt's penal code allows charges to be brought against "whoever exploits religion in words or writing or any other methods to promote extremist ideologies, with a view of stirring up sedition, disparaging or contempt of any divine religion or its adherents, or prejudicing national unity and social peace.”

That language is wide enough to drive a truck through, and the so-called blasphemy law has been unevenly enforced over the years. Last year, a lawsuit brought against the politically active tycoon Naguib Sawiris, after he posted a picture of Minnie Mouse wearing a Muslim veil on Twitter, was tossed out of court.

In the final decade of Mubarak's rule, there were at least a dozen blasphemy actions, from court cases against religious figures to the banning of books to the withdrawal of publishing licenses from magazines that produced fiction depicting Islam.

So while Egypt's Islamists – generally not fans of free speech when it comes to matters of faith and social mores – are on the rise politically, it's worth keeping in mind that such actions were frequent under the presumably secular Mubarak regime. Still, the fact remains that Islamist political power is going to be increasingly expressed in the years ahead, and that's something for the country's actors and writers to keep an eye on. Egypt's salafists, whose version of Islam is severe and limiting when it comes to free speech and the role of women, have become major political players with about 25 percent of the seats in parliament.

Both cases against Imam were brought by a salafist lawyer from Alexandria and though conviction carries a jail sentence, they're considered misdemeanor crimes under Egyptian law. An Amnesty International researcher following the case said that the lawyer told her he brought two actions simply because he felt that would bring him a better chance of success.

Imam's original sentence, the one that was upheld, was tied to his performances in movies like "Terrorism and Kebab," a 1992 satire about the country's Kafkaesque bureaucracy, in which Imam's character accidentally takes a major government administrative building hostage after losing his temper with incompetent government officials and then demands take-out food. In other films, he depicted an Islamist militant and corrupt regional autocrat.

The "dangerous" Adel Imam orders takeout after taking over a government building in "Terrorism and Kebab."

Adel Imam, Egypt's favorite funnyman, dodges a bullet - CSMonitor.com

Friday, April 20, 2012

Referendums: A Device for Despots?

By Nigel Jones | Published in History Today Volume: 62 Issue: 5 2012

Nigel Jones traces the chequered history of European referendums and asks why they appeal as much to dictators as to democrats.

A billboard with a portrais of the Italian dictator Mussolini seeking a yes vote in a forthcoming plebiscite, Rome, 1934. Getty/Keystone-France

A billboard with a portrais of the Italian dictator Mussolini seeking a yes vote in a forthcoming plebiscite, Rome, 1934. Getty/Keystone-France

Britain held its first ever nationwide referendum on June 6th, 1975, to approve or reject the country’s entry two years earlier to what was then called the European Economic Community (EEC). Yet the idea of directly consulting the electorate on a single political decision was widely regarded as an unwelcome foreign intrusion into the British body politic. Referendums were, in the words of the former Labour Prime Minister Clement Attlee, ‘a device for despots and dictators’.

Referendums are certainly far more familiar in continental Europe than in Britain. They are used most frequently in Switzerland, where they are triggered if just 100,000 citizens petition for one. Now, with a referendum on Scottish independence looming in 2014, if not earlier, and the oft-promised but always deferred referendum to test how far opinion has changed on Britain’s membership of the European Union, it is fitting to take a closer look at the device which has been used by despots and dictators as often as by democrats.

Modern referendums can be partly blamed on, or credited to, the Bonapartes. France’s first referendum was held in July 1793 in the midst of the revolution, when all adult males were asked to ratify a constitution drafted by the Committee of Public Safety, the blood-stained executive arm of the National Convention. On paper the constitution, like that of Stalin’s Soviet Union, was impeccably progressive, even advocating the people’s right to rebel against tyranny. The problem was that it had been drawn up by Maximilien Robespierre and his cronies, no mean tyrants themselves.

Three quarters of the male electorate abstained. Of the nearly two million who did vote, an impressive 99.41 per cent backed the constitution, while just 11,000 voted against. A year later the five-man collective leadership – the Directory – which had replaced and guillotined Robespierre and his followers, legitimised its coup by appealing again to the popular will. France’s second referendum returned a still impressive 95 per cent approval for the Directory. (Percentage voter approval rates in the 90s have been an infallible hallmark of totalitarian regimes ever since.)

When France’s menfolk next went to the polls, in 1800, it was Napoleon Bonaparte who demanded their approval of his destruction of the very Directory whose creation they had applauded six years before. The brilliant young general had returned home, after a string of military victories in Italy and Egypt, to make himself France’s dictator, or ‘first consul’, in a messy coup organised by his soon-to-be-disillusioned brother Lucien.

It was Lucien Bonaparte, as minister of the interior, who announced the official results: 99.9 per cent of voters approved Napoleon’s assumption of dictatorial power and, although a whopping 77 % had not voted at all, only 1,556 men voted Non. Thus encouraged, Napoleon consulted his people frequently thereafter. In 1802 99 per cent approved of him becoming first consul for life and in 1804 the same percentage of voters said Oui to his ultimate power grab, when he proclaimed himself emperor. Napoleon’s last referendum, held in April 1815 to demonstrate popular support for his return from Elba to oust the Bourbons – even after he had led France to abject defeat – returned another 99 per cent vote in his favour. Two months later a more negative and conclusive verdict on his rule was given at Waterloo.

Like uncle, like nephew: Louis Napoleon Bonaparte, that strange amalgam of tyrant and democrat, reactionary and progressive, relied on referendums to give popular approval to his own violent seizure of power a generation after the first Napoleon had sailed into the sunset of St Helena. Louis Napoleon had been elected president in a genuine popular vote at the end of 1848, Europe’s ‘year of revolutions’. Nearing the end of his term he tried to persuade parliamentarians to allow him to run again. They refused, so he resolved to do it without them.

Louis Napoleon carried out his coup in Paris on December 2nd, 1852, the anniversary of the first Napoleon’s coronation in 1804 and of his great victory at Austerlitz a year later. The coup, carried out with military precision, became a model for succeeding putsches. Troops occupied key points; political opponents were arrested; the press was muzzled; critics – such as the writer Victor Hugo – were exiled; the National Assembly was shut down. In Paris 200 died before resistance was crushed. Another 24,000 were detained for opposing the coup and hundreds were deported to perish in French penal colonies. Karl Marx compared the coup to the first Napoleon’s seizure of power, writing: ‘History repeats itself, the first time as tragedy, then as farce.’ For once, Marx was correct.

Again aping his ancestor, Louis Napoleon held a referendum to validate his coup three weeks later. With opposition newspapers suspended and public meetings forbidden, the result was a foregone conclusion. Seven and a half million Frenchmen endorsed his violent action, though 650,000 refused.

A year later his tame legislature voted to kill the second French Republic in favour of the second Bonapartist empire. Another referendum approved the change by 7.8 million votes to 250,000. On the Bonapartes’ big day, December 2nd, France’s new ruler was proclaimed Napoleon III. As his biographer John Bierman caustically observed: ‘Marianne could never claim that she had been raped: she had, in fact, surrendered eagerly to the Napoleonic seducer, as if the illegality, chicanery and outright butchery which accompanied the coup had been nothing more than a little boisterous foreplay.’ The regime lasted for almost two decades – longer than the original empire – only to come crashing down in 1870 with France’s devastating defeat in the Franco-Prussian War.

A far less benign dictator than either Bonaparte made frequent use of the device, but, like the two Napoleons, Hitler only used referendums when he was sure what the result would be. It helped that techniques for manipulating and influencing public opinion had grown more sophisticated in the half century since Napoleon III’s rule. Under Joseph Goebbels’ control, German radio and cinema ensured that the Nazi regime’s message hit home. In August 1934 Hitler took advantage of the death of the aged President Hindenburg to call a referendum on merging the two posts of president and chancellor into one: the Führer. On August 19th the people gave their verdict. Despite the violent methods that had characterised 18 months of Nazi rule, during which the concentration camp and the rubber truncheon had replaced the ballot box, ‘only’ 89.9 per cent of voters, according to the official tally, agreed to Hitler becoming head of state, chief of the government, leader of the Nazi party and supreme commander of the armed forces.

Subsequent referendums approved Nazi Germany’s absorption of the Saarland (1935) and the Rhineland (1936), but it was when Hitler was preparing his third takeover – of Austria – that he displayed his true attitude towards direct democracy.The Führer had always taken an unfriendly interest in his homeland, where he suffered repeated failure in his youth. He had used Austria’s homegrown Nazis as a terrorist fifth column to undermine the conservative Catholic regime of the diminutive dictator Engelbert Dollfuss. Nazi bombings and sabotage culminated in July 1934 with an abortive Nazi putsch in Vienna during which Dollfuss was murdered. Although Hitler had ordered the putsch, he was forced to disavow it after its failure. But the relentless Nazi pressure on Austria continued. In February 1938 Dollfuss’ successor, Kurt von Schuschnigg, was summoned to the Berghof, Hitler’s mountain retreat overlooking Austria. Here the Austrian chancellor was bullied into agreeing to accept an ultimatum, which amounted to surrendering Austrian independence. Hitler’s demands included taking Nazis into his cabinet, allowing German officers to run the Austrian army, releasing Nazi terrorists from jail and lifting the ban on the party.

On returning to Austria Schuschnigg had second thoughts and called a referendum. The question on the ballot was whether Austria should remain a free, independent and Christian country or not. On hearing the news Hitler exploded with anger. He insisted that the poll be cancelled, ordered the Wehrmacht across the Austrian frontier, demanded Schuschnigg’s resignation and effected the long-planned Anschluss – a forced marriage between Austria and Germany. Schuschnigg was arrested and humiliated by being forced to clean the SS toilets when they set up their HQ in Vienna’s Imperial Hotel. He spent the Second World War in concentration camps and was lucky to survive.

The next occasion that a German chancellor exerted pressure to force the cancellation of a referendum in another country and cause the departure of the head of government who had called it came late last year when Angela Merkel stopped the referendum announced by Greek premier George Papandreou on whether his country should continue to accept the economic agony caused by its membership of the eurozone, or be allowed to default and exit the euro. Merkel also arranged the appointment of unelected premiers in both Greece and Italy. History was again repeating itself as farce.

Despite their dubious record, referendums continued to be widely employed across postwar Europe. General de Gaulle was a serial caller of referendums. On returning to power in 1958, after a decade in the wilderness, he hammered out a new constitution for a new republic – France’s fifth since the revolution of 1789. The new framework provided for a strong president (De Gaulle himself) and a weak legislature – reversing the arrangements of the chaotic and corrupt Third and Fourth republics. It also provided for regular referendums on any issue deemed worthy – by the president. The first such test of public approval was the new constitution itself.

De Gaulle hardly gave his opponents a level playing field. The country was plastered with Oui posters and every elector was sent a copy of the constitution together with an address by De Gaulle urging them to vote ‘yes’. Even tax collectors suspended operations for the duration of the campaign. The state-run TV networks were saturated with pro-constitution propaganda, including an eve-of-poll address by the General. France’s chattering class were furious. The leftist philosopher Jean-Paul Sartre said: ‘The frogs are looking for a prince.’ Le Monde commented: ‘Conceived in sin, the Fifth Republic is going to be born in lies.’ Nonetheless, with nearly 80 per cent of the votes, De Gaulle got his mandate and the Fifth Republic is still with us today.

De Gaulle used repeated referendum wins to keep the French public onside as he betrayed the army and white settlers in Algeria, who had brought him to power, and handed the country over to the nationalist FLN, who had been fighting French colonial rule since 1954. After a decade, France tired of the imperious old man and ditched him when he called a referendum too far in April 1969 on the trivial topic of local government reform, announcing that he would resign if his government lost. It did and he went, dying the following year.

Europe’s new 21st-century power, however, has adopted a more relaxed attitude to referendums. When they are called, the result is generally accepted in Brussels only if it is in line with what Brussels wants to do. In 1992 Denmark voted to reject the Maastricht Treaty on closer European integration. The following year, after a couple of cosmetic changes, the country was forced to vote on the treaty again, this time passing it. The same thing happened in 2005 when referendums in the Netherlands and France rejected the Lisbon treaty: the treaty was tweaked and passed. When voters in Ireland rejected it, they too, like the Danes before them, were made to vote again. The treaty is now in force.

So what conclusions can be drawn from this largely melancholy history? That referendums are usually used for the convenience of rulers rather than the ruled. Much depends – as Alex Salmond realises – on the question on the ballot paper and on who controls the organs of propaganda – radio, TV, newspapers and, today, the Internet. In the 1975 British EEC referendum almost all the media and majorities in the three main political parties were rooting for a ‘Yes’ vote. The ‘Nos’ were lucky to pick up as many votes as they did. Though British public opinion is mainly eurosceptic, the official position of the three parties remains unchanged, which is why there is unlikely to be a staying in/coming out referendum on Europe anytime soon.

Nigel Jones is the author of Tower: An Epic History of the Tower of London (Hutchinson, 2011)

Referendums: A Device for Despots? | History Today

Wednesday, April 4, 2012

Dutch boy, 11, given special merit for creating eurozone debt crisis solution with pizza

 

  • Dutch boy singled out by Wolfson Economics Prize
  • 11-year-old creates pizza-themed solution to euro crisis

Netherlands  Euro Prize

Jurre Hermans, an 11-year-old Dutch boy, poses with the drawing he submitted for a competition for the break-up of the euro. Picture: AP Source: AP

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AN 11-year-old Dutch boy enjoyed a slice of global recognition after his pizza-themed solution to the euro crisis was singled out for special merit by organisers of a contest seeking ways to wind up the single currency.

Jurre Hermans, a schoolboy from Breedenbroek in the east of The Netherlands, submitted a single-page sheet solution to the euro crisis, accompanied by a hand-drawn diagram complete with a miserable-looking Greek, to the organisers of the Wolfson Economics Prize.

Funded by British businessman Lord Wolfson, the chief executive of the Next clothing chain, the contest offers a £250,000 ($385,000) prize for the best idea on how to exit the troubled euro without bringing down the global financial system.

Young Jurre outlined a plan in which Greece exited the euro, resumed using the drachma and was forced to pay back its debts. In turn, the returned money was sliced up like a pizza and repaid to investors.

"All Greek people should bring their Euro to the bank. They put it in an exchange machine (see left on my picture). You see, the Greek guy does not look happy!! The Greek man gets back Greek Drachme [drachmas] from the bank, their old currency," the budding economist wrote.

He added, "The Bank gives all these euro's [sic] to the Greek Government. All these euros together form a pancake or a pizza (see on top in the picture). Now the Greek government can start to pay back all their debts, everyone who has a debt gets a slice of the pizza. You see that all these euro's [sic] in the pizzas go the companies and banks who have given."

The clever part, he continued, involved forcing the Greeks to accept the plan.

Foreseeing that Greeks would opt to keep their euros instead of taking drachmas that would rapidly decline in value, Jurre offered a tough line, adding, "So if a Greek man tries to keep his Euros (or bring his euros to a bank in an other country like Holland or Germany) and it is discovered, he gets a penalty just as high or double as the whole amount in euros he tried to hide!!!"

Organisers gave a special mention to Jurre, and a €100 ($128) prize, but he did not make the five-person shortlist.

Lord Wolfson praised the quality of all the submissions. "Sadly, the risk of a country leaving the eurozone has not gone away. The ideas contained in these entries are an invaluable contribution to tackling this important issue. I am incredibly grateful to everyone who made a submission and look forward to awarding the prize this summer."

Tuesday, April 3, 2012

Interview: Alex von Tunzelmann

By Paul Lay | Posted 2nd April 2012, 14:27

Alex von Tunzelmann

Alex von TunzelmannThe author of Red Heat: Conspiracy, Murder and the Cold War in the Caribbean discusses her work with Paul Lay.

You have chosen to integrate Cuba’s recent history with that of its neighbours: Haiti and the Dominican Republic. Can you tell us what attracted you to that framework?

Cuba, Haiti and the Dominican Republic were the three major independent nations in the Caribbean. All of them had to play a game with their powerful neighbour. They depended on the US for trade and aid, but were fearful for their sovereignty if they let the Americans get too close. There’s the familiar story of ‘13 days’ of the Cuban missile crisis, which many accounts locate almost entirely in the White House. When I panned out from that and looked at what was going on in Haiti and the Dominican Republic, as well as Cuba throughout the 1950s and 1960s, it became this vivid story; full of freewheeling mercenaries, fake terrorist plots, Mafia hits, exploding planes and cigars, even an army of zombies.

On top of that there was a strong story about how Caribbean leaders had done their best to manipulate the US using its fear of Communism in the region, often with great success. At the same time, genuine liberation or prodemocracy movements had been stifled. It was an important story that had a resonance with current events, particularly the War on Terror.

It seems, at first, that Castro was keen to have an amicable relationship with the US. What went wrong?

There’s evidence that he did want friendship, or at least peaceful coexistence. There was some enthusiasm for him inside the US embassy in Havana and in the State Department. Things went wrong soon after his victory in 1959 for two reasons. First, Castro resisted any attempts to control him or even persuade him to more moderate courses of action. For example, he carried out public executions of hate figures of the former regime. Second, there was a campaign of terrorism and sabotage against his government which he blamed on the CIA. A ship carrying small arms blew up in Havana harbour in March 1960. It may have been an accident, but Castro saw it as a declaration of war by the US and that pushed him into a relationship with the Soviet Union.

Castro seems an almost benign figure in comparison with his fellow dictators, François Duvalier of Haiti and Rafael Trujillo of the Dominican Republic. Did anyone in the US government have any qualms about their behaviour?

Yes. The striking and sad thing about reading the State Department archives from these years is that the US had plenty of perceptive people, both on the ground in those countries and in Washington, many of whom objected to US support for despots. But they just weren’t listened to because – and this was true under Eisenhower, Kennedy and Johnson – the primary fixation was with stopping Communism.

So, for instance, in 1961 the well-informed former diplomat Adolf Berle argued for regime change in Haiti, not Cuba. That was justifiable. There was widespread popular unrest against the government in Haiti. Some of Duvalier’s close associates, including his doctor, had gone to US officials to warn them that he was insane and was torturing and murdering his opponents. But Berle was thought ‘out of touch’.

How did US activities in the Caribbean affect later military ventures such as those in Vietnam and the Middle East?

Very literally, because the US Marine Corps Small Wars Manual, used in Vietnam, was written on the strength of experience in the Caribbean. The most influential operation was Lyndon Johnson’s Operation Power Pack, a massive intervention in the Dominican Republic in 1965 aimed at averting a Communist revolution. Johnson had the CIA scour the Dominican Republic for Castro-trained guerrillas, but they could only find eight of them in a population of four million. At that time many critics spoke against Power Pack and the Vietnam War in the same breath.

The events you deal with in Red Heat have until recently been viewed as current affairs. Yet for you, who wasn’t even born at the time, they are history. How does that affect our perspectives?

These events took place 50 years ago. US government papers are usually declassified after 30 years and for a political historian those papers create a real sense of what was going on. Some historians work even closer to events than I do. If I relied primarily on interviews, I’d already be too late. Almost everyone of importance in the book is dead, except for Fidel and Raúl Castro.

If I am lucky enough to live to a grand old age, I’ll be thrilled to read the histories that a generation not even born yet will write about the events of today: the Bush-Blair relationship; the pursuit and assassination of Osama bin Laden; the British intervention in Libya. Current events turn up new questions all the time. Sometimes these questions can only be answered from the perspective of history.

Interview: Alex von Tunzelmann | History Today