Monday, June 30, 2014

Isis announces caliphate in 'declaration of war'

Press Association theguardian.com, Monday 30 June 2014

British academic says new statement suggests Isis is now challenging al-Qaida for global leadership of the jihad movement

Explosion Iraq

The aftermath of an Isis attack in Bartella, Iraq, on June 26. Photograph: Younes Mohammad/Barcroft India

The announcement of a formal Islamic state by insurgents in Syria and Iraq is a "declaration of war against the West and al Qaida", an expert has warned. The Islamic State in Iraq and Greater Syria (Isis) group has sought to solidify its leadership of worldwide jihad today by declaring that its leader, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, is the new caliph, or head of state.

Abu Mohammed al-Adnani, a spokesman for the group, called for those living in the area under the group's control in both countries to swear allegiance to Baghdadi.

Around 500 British-linked citizens are already thought to have travelled to the Middle East to fight with the Sunni Muslim group against its Alawite and Shia sectarian foes amid fears that more will join them.

Professor Peter Neumann, from the International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation at King's College London, said the significance of today's announcement should not be underestimated. "It's a declaration of war – not only against the west and all the countries that are currently fighting Isis, but more importantly, against al-Qaida. Isis now see themselves as the legitimate leaders of the movement and they expect everyone to fall in line.

"For ideological jihadists, the caliphate is the ultimate aim, and Isis – in their eyes – have come closer to realising that vision than anyone else. On that basis, Isis leaders believe they deserve everyone's allegiance.

"This could be the end of al-Qaida. It depends on how they respond. Unless they come out fighting, this could mark the end of Bin Laden's vision and his legacy."

Neumann said the declaration of a caliphate showed how confident Isis are after making spectacular gains in Iraq in recent weeks following a spectacular collapse by government forces. "They haven't lost any of the momentum they gained when capturing Mosul," he said. "On the contrary, they've held on to it, gained more territory, and have seen jihadists from other groups swear allegiance to them.

"They must think their dream of creating the caliphate is finally coming true, and it's coming true faster and more dramatically than even they expected."

Islamic extremists have long aspired to recreate the Islamic caliphate that ruled over the Middle East for hundreds of years.

Over the last two weeks there has been growing concern over the number of young British Muslims who have joined Isis. David Cameron claimed that they represent the "biggest threat to national security that exists today".

Several youths who are believed to have travelled to the Middle East to fight have been identified, rocking Muslim families and communities in towns such as Cardiff, Aberdeen and Coventry.

The security services have made tracking British jihadists fighting in the region their top priority after a video emerged showing Britons filmed in Syria urging UK Muslims to join insurgents there and in Iraq.

Isis announces caliphate in 'declaration of war' | World news | theguardian.com

Wednesday, June 25, 2014

Save Syria, Iraq is already lost - Al Arabiya News

  Jamal Khashoggi Tuesday, 24 June 2014

Have you recently taken a look at the original map of the Sykes-Picot border? It includes Iraq’s second city Mosul and Greater Syria, which are the lines currently being drawn. So is there an aim to set things straight?
The first draft of the map was as such before it was amended to the current borders between Syria and Iraq by the preferences of Mr Sykes and Mr Picot in London and Paris. But why was this amendment done? We need a historian to answer this. However, anyone who knows history is aware that no Islamic state was established in Mosul without expanding to Aleppo and the rest of the Levant. So is Mosul the natural extension of the Levant and vice versa? This looks like a fun exercise during a history session but when it comes to politics, it's a nightmare for the region. The state we're talking about is the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS). I think it's time we give them the “respect” they deserve after the victories they achieved last week and after they forced themselves on the region. We must thus call them "the state," as they like to be called, despite our huge differences with them and the mandatory fear of them.

A dark relationship

ISIS is also knowledgeable about history, and it dreams of a caliphate state as it eyes the Levant. This truth must remain clear amid claims that ISIS is an "Iranian product" and that it is "allied with Assad." These are just conclusions and not facts. Yes, ISIS secretly dealt with these two regimes and their intelligence but recent events show that this was an exchange of benefits between two parties that have contradictory aims. This dark relationship between two fanatic parties which despise one another has always been a huge mystery that can only be interpreted as a result of Iranian slyness and an evil strategy to incite sectarian strife wherever Iran is active.

ISIS is knowledgeable about history, and it dreams of a caliphate state as it eyes the Levant

Jamal Khashoggi

This is how Iran justifies its sectarianism and its mobilization of the region's Shiites - by making them feel continuously threatened. The policy, however, backfired and the genie was let out of the bottle threatening Tehran and Damascus and eliminating the fool among them. It's clear now that the al-Qaeda organization has used them both as much as they used it. Everyone gambled and al-Qaeda won.

Sykes-Picot border agreement. (Click to enlarge)

Saving Syria can be achieved by preventing its fall in the hands of ISIS. This of course cannot be carried out by saving Bashar al-Assad and his regime as Assad is the cause and he's the one who brought about all this evil. It's only a matter of time before the borders between ISIS and the Shiite Iraqi South are drawn. Borders with the Kurdistan region are already established. But the responsibility of confronting Kurdish ambitions in Kirkuk and what's around it of the central government (previously) in Baghdad will be that of Commander of the Faithful who rules from his secret chamber. In the end, everyone will agree on borders. Of course, the agreement will not be signed at the Arab League headquarters in Cairo but it will be a fait accompli.

ISIS benefitted from its previous mistakes and expanded its alliances. Some are experts and strategists from the old Baath regime. It's also not considered an "organization" but a real state that has oil resources factories, farms and national production and which is in charge of few million people's security and livelihood. Therefore, it's acting like a state and a government. Of course it's different from the world's definition of "government" as the latter definition is based on acceptable common international relations. The world actually rejects and despises ISIS which is gradually progressing and avoiding failed wars. This was clear via its movement when it progressed towards Baghdad last week moving around Samraa which it knows there's no popularity or anger like those it used to win the support of people of Mosul and Anbar.

Upcoming battles

The upcoming battles will reveal the extent of ISIS’ maturity. Most probably, it will stop at the maximum extent in the south like it now with the North’s Kurds and it will rest a little benefitting from international incompetence. The U.S. will of course not launch war. Deterring ISIS will not be achieved without a complete war that's no less than the invasion of Iraq and Afghanistan. America and Obama don't want such wars or what's even lesser than that. Iran knows that the truce with "al-Qaeda-ISIS" has ended and remember the message which "Salafist jihadism" sent in 1994 via Ramzi Youssef who was behind the bomb explosion of Imam Reza shrine in Mashhad and who's currently serving time in the U.S. for the 1993 World Trade Centre bombing. Someone from ISIS or al-Qaeda must've sent the Iranians saying: "Remember what we can do when your borders are open to us, from the east and west."
The second easy target for ISIS and where the circumstances are similar to Mosul, Anbar and Ramadi before they took over them is Syria where there's Sunni suppression, daily murder and international reluctance. ISIS is hated there but it has supporters. Success will bring it more victories and power alters previous convictions. Jabhat al-Nusra and its emir, Golani, must be more worried now. However there must be common ground that justifies some sort of reconciliation with them, with the Islamic Front and with the rest of Salafi organizations. The Free Syrian Army is almost finished off and the upcoming ISIS attack will completely finish it off. The anti-aircraft missiles which the U.S. prevented Syrian rebels from attaining are now available to ISIS. No one will prevent the latter from transferring some of these missiles to Syria. And just like we woke up few days ago to the news of Mosul's fall into the hands of ISIS, we will soon wake up to the news of the fall of Aleppo and other cities in the hands of ISIS. Is this good news? He who wants to be saved from Assad's daily barrel bombs and from the international community's reluctance and who desires some peace will accept ISIS.

Those who are worried by the expansion of this fundamentalist state which wants to change all the region's rules of politics and who prefer to besiege this state in its current Iraqi zone until it destroys itself, should better go forward, topple Assad and his regime and establish a pluralistic system that adheres to constitution and elections.
This article was first published in al-Hayat on June 21, 2014.

____________________

Jamal Khashoggi is a Saudi journalist, columnist, author, and general manager of the upcoming Al Arab News Channel. He previously served as a media aide to Prince Turki al Faisal while he was Saudi Arabia's ambassador to the United States. Khashoggi has written for various daily and weekly Arab newspapers, including Asharq al-Awsat, al-Majalla and al-Hayat, and was editor-in-chief of the Saudi-based al-Watan. He was a foreign correspondent in Afghanistan, Algeria, Kuwait, Sudan, and other Middle Eastern countries. He is also a political commentator for Saudi-based and international news channels.

Last Update: Tuesday, 24 June 2014 KSA 14:08 - GMT 11:08

Save Syria, Iraq is already lost - Al Arabiya News

El-Sisi says will donate 50% of his salary and wealth to Egypt's economy

Ahram Online, Tuesday 24 Jun 2014

El-Sisi also said he will not comment on the Al Jazeera verdicts - which drew loud international criticism on Monday - nor interfere in the decisions of the judiciary

 

Egypt president Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi

Egypt president Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi (Photo: AP)

Related

  • Egypt foreign ministry rejects foreign condemnation of Al Jazeera verdicts

  • Egyptian ambassadors prepare for backlash over Al Jazeera verdict

  • El-Sisi tells ministers to set example to nation

    Egypt's recently appointed President Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi said on Tuesday he will donate half of his monthly salary and half of his wealth in support of the Egyptian economy.

    In a speech delivered during the commencement ceremony at the Military Academy and aired on Egyptian television, El-Sisi said he will give up half of his monthly LE42,000 salary to assist Egypt through its economic challenges.

    El-Sisi also said he has refused to ratify the 2014-2015 state budget which, in its present form, would raise the total domestic debt to over LE2 trillion.

    The current domestic debt stands at LE1.7 trillion. 

    He urged Egyptians to embrace real sacrifices for their country and to put aside sectoral demands.

    "I say this to each and every Egyptian: you must help me," El-Sisi asserted, "This is a time of solidarity, a time to prioritise the nation."

    El-Sisi was appointed president earlier in June, after securing more than 96 percent of the Egyptians' vote. He has regularly mentioned the country's troubled economy necessitating austerity measures and the rationalisation of consumption.

    Commenting on the controversial Monday court verdicts sentencing three Al Jazeera journalists to 7-10 years in jail, El-Sisi said he will not interfere in the decisions of the judiciary.

    "There were a lot of discussions about a verdict [on Monday]. I spoke to the minister of justice and agreed that we will not interfere," he affirmed.

    Monday's verdict in the Al Jazeera case, which sentenced foreign and Egyptian journalists to jail, drew sharp local and international criticism. England, Australia and the Netherlands each summoned the Egyptian ambassador on their grounds to express concerns regarding the case and the status of freedom of speech in Egypt.

    The Egyptian foreign ministry, however, said it does not accept interference in its internal affairs.

    "The judiciary is an independent and honourable institution...if we really want [Egypt] to be a state [run by] institutions, we should refrain [from interfering], even if others do not understand the verdicts," El-Sisi said.

  • El-Sisi says will donate 50% of his salary and wealth to Egypt's economy - Politics - Egypt - Ahram Online

    Monday, June 23, 2014

    Egypt’s hidden prison: ‘disappeared’ face torture in Azouli military jail

    Patrick Kingsley in Ismailia The Guardian, Monday 23 June 2014

    Guardian interviews with former detainees reveal up to 400 Egyptians being held without judicial oversight amid wider crackdown on human rights

    Map showing the Galaa military camp in Ismalila and the location of the Azoulu military prison within itMap showing the Galaa military camp in Ismalila and the location of the Azoulu military prison within it. The S1 block, which detainees describe as an interrogation block, is a few minutes drive from the jail

    Hundreds of “disappeared” Egyptians are being tortured and held outside of judicial oversight in a secret military prison, according to Guardian interviews with former inmates, lawyers, rights activists and families of missing persons.

    Since at least the end of July 2013, detainees have been taken there blindfolded and forcibly disappeared. Up to 400 are still being tortured and held outside of judicial oversight in the clearest example of a wide-scale crackdown that Amnesty and Human Rights Watch have jointly called “repression on a scale unprecedented in Egypt’s modern history”.

    Prisoners at Azouli are routinely electrocuted, beaten and hanged naked by their tied wrists for hours until they either give up specific information, memorise confessions or until – in the case of a small group of released former inmates – are deemed of no further use to their interrogators.

    They are among at least 16,000 political prisoners arrested since last summer’s regime change. But what sets Azouli’s prisoners apart is the way they are held outside of Egypt’s legal system, in circumstances that allow their jailers to act without fear of even hypothetical consequences.

    “Officially, you aren’t there,” said Ayman, a middle-aged man who was brought to Azouli towards the end of 2013, and one of only a few to later be released.

    “It isn’t like normal prisons. There is no documentation that says you are there. If you die at Azouli, no one would know.”

    Azouli prison cannot be seen by civilians. It lies inside a vast military camp – the sprawling headquarters of Egypt’s second field army at Ismailia, a city 62 miles north-east of Cairo – but hundreds are nevertheless all too aware of its third and highest floor, where the detainees are held in cramped cells.

    Azouli jail in the military base in EgyptAzouli jail in the military base in Egypt.

    According to three former inmates, each interviewed separately, the majority of Azouli detainees are Salafis – ultraconservative Muslims – suspected of involvement or knowledge of a wave of militant attacks that began after the violent dispersal of a pro-Mohamed Morsi protest camp in August 2013. Many are from the northern Sinai peninsular, the centre of a jihadist insurgency, but there are prisoners from all over Egypt.

    A few are suspected members of the banned Muslim Brotherhood, others were involved in student protests and a significant minority are people with no connection to religious movements who interviewees felt had been arrested at random. All three said at least one prisoner was a child and two said another was a journalist.

    The interviewees characterised their detentions as metaphorical fishing expeditions in which they were arrested on little evidence and then tortured to force them to give up any information that would justify their incarceration.

    “The issue is that many of those at Azouli are arrested randomly or with very little evidence, and then the intelligence services use torture to find out whether they are actually involved in violence,” said Mohamed Elmessiry, Egypt researcher for Amnesty International, who has led an extensive investigation into Azouli.

    For Khaled, a young activist, the torture began before he arrived. Arrested as he went about his daily business several months ago, he alleges that he was beaten and electrocuted by soldiers and military policemen in an enclosed outdoor space for several hours before being driven to Azouli.

    “They used up two electric-shock machines,” said Khaled. “They brought a towel and put water on it and put it on my face to stop me breathing. The military policemen kept beating me.

    “After four hours my clothes were ripped apart. My face was swollen. My eyes were closed. I got a wound in my jaw deep enough for a soldier to put his finger inside it.”

    In the military vehicle on the way to Azouli, Khaled says he was trapped underneath a car seat with his arms locked behind him – a position of prolonged and excruciating pain he says was worse than any he would experience in the coming months.

    At Azouli, he says he was immediately placed in a cell on the third floor, where the vast majority of the disappeared prisoners are held.

    Two other survivors said they were beaten on arrival by a “welcoming committee” of soldiers, an experience that prisoners in civilian prisons also frequently report.

    “When we arrived at the prison, they covered our eyes,” said Ayman, the middle-aged former prisoner. “They took everyone’s valuables and their belts and anything that resembled a rope. Medicines, too. And after that they started the beating. They lined us up against the wall and hit us with sticks, water pipes and fists. This lasted for 10 minutes.

    “Then they lined us up and as we walked to the third floor, they beat us as we walked. In the corridor on the third floor, they uncovered our eyes again and started beating us. The warden on the third floor – he was called Gad – kept threatening us: ‘If anyone looks out of the window, if anyone makes any noise, we will beat you.’ And then they beat us for a while, with their fists to our faces. After the beating, they put us in the cell.”

    The bottom two floors of the prison have long been used to detain soldiers subject to courts martial. But since July 2013, political detainees have been kept on the third floor, the majority of them in about a dozen cells that each contain between 23 and 28 prisoners.

    image

    At any one time, the third floor can hold well above 300 prisoners, with the total number of inmates likely to be higher, since some detainees have left and others have taken their places.

    Amnesty believes that up to 20 have been released from any kind of custody. Lawyers also say that a number of others have “reappeared” in civilian jails, accused of terrorism charges based on confessions extracted after torture and interrogation.

    The interrogation and systematic torture of Azouli’s prisoners takes place in a separate building – known as S-1 – a few minutes’ drive from the prison. About 10 prisoners are taken there at the middle of each day. Once their names are called, they are let out of their cells to blindfold themselves and form a line. Each survivor said that at this point they would be beaten then led downstairs to a minibus, where they would be beaten again. Prisoners are then driven the short journey to S-1, where they are usually led up a set of wooden stairs to a first-floor office. There the detainees wait – still blindfolded – until they are called one by one to a next-door room.

    When Khaled was first called, on his first full day at Azouli, he remembers the unnerving sound of an officer silently flicking his lighter on and off for several minutes before asking a series of questions about the organisation of protests.

    “And then the torture started,” Khaled recalled. “It started with electric shocks in every place in my body. [The officer] called the military policemen and told them: ‘Take off his clothes.’ They took me out of the room. I took everything off apart from my boxers. They said: ‘Make yourself totally naked.’ I said no. The officer said: ‘Bring him in.’

    “I started to give him some names. He felt I had lied, so he ordered the soldiers to make me totally naked. The electric shocks were in every place in my body, especially the most sensitive areas – my lips, the places with nerves. Behind the ear and lips. Under the shoulders.”

    After the electrocutions, Khaled’s hands were tied behind him. He then claims he was hanged naked by the ensuing knot from a window frame – a torture technique known as the Balango method, which left his shoulders and wrists in excruciating pain. Two-and-a-half hours later he was taken down and returned to the cells.

    Two other former inmates report similar experiences, though one says he was tied in a different position, and the other – Salah, a man in his 20s – said he was allowed to keep wearing his clothes while being electrocuted.

    “The officer asked me if I knew certain people from a list,” said Salah. “If I said no, he would electrocute me … My answers were, of course, no: I don’t stay very much in [my hometown]. So he would electrocute me.

    “The electrocution was over my clothes, but on the testicles. I was sitting on the floor, handcuffed. He was sitting on the small table, and would stretch his hands to electrocute me in my testicles.”

    The victims cannot know for certain who tortured them. But all three believe that the interrogations were led by officers from military intelligence – the army wing headed until 2012 by Abdel Fatah al-Sisi, Egypt’s new president – with involvement from the secret police, known informally in Egypt as amn ad-dawla, or state security.

    One interviewee said he had been brought to Azouli by state security, who handed him over to the army.

    According to Ahmed Helmy, a lawyer who represents former Azouli prisoners, many detainees are tortured by military intelligence until they memorise specific confessions to acts of terrorism. Then they are transferred to state security offices where they are asked to repeat these confessions to a police prosecutor. Other detainees from civilian jails confirm meeting Azouli prisoners at this stage in their incarceration.

    If they repeat their memorised confessions correctly, Azouli prisoners are then “reappeared” in a civilian jail, where torture is less systematic, and where they are allowed visits from lawyers and relatives. But, says Helmy: “If they don’t confess exactly how the security services want, they’re sent back to Azouli for more torture.”

    Helmy represents some of the detainees who he says have been transferred from Azouli to civilian jails. He says some of them may have committed parts of the crimes to which they have confessed, but because of the way their confessions were extracted it was impossible to be sure.

    “You can’t know if these people have committed these crimes or not,” Helmy said. “Under the pressure of torture you can admit to anything. It’s clear that some people are admitting to things because of the torture.”

    The mother of one former Azouli detainee – now transferred to a civilian jail – said it had taken her son Omar four days of torture and three trips to a civil prosecutor before he would agree to recite his forced confession. Omar’s mother said she feared he had died because during his time at Azouli no state institution would reveal his whereabouts.

    She only found Omar again when he re-emerged at an official jail weeks later. “The skin on his nose was raw to the bone,” she remembered of their reunion at a family visit inside the second prison.

    “There was a cut with the depth of a fingertip on his neck, which came from being beaten with a metal stick. There were two big wounds on his wrists from the hanging.

    “They electrocuted him on his testicles. He said he was threatened with rape and that they used to hang them naked. He said he was prevented from going to the bathroom for six days and they kept him blindfolded for ten days.

    “He asked me if we had had any visits, because they threatened that they would arrest his [female relatives], rape them, film it, and then show them the videos.”

    The three former prisoners interviewed directly by the Guardian said that they were not tortured at S-1 as many times as detainees such as Omar. Over time, officials appeared to lose interest in them, which may partly explain their eventual release.

    Summarising the difference between Azouli and notorious civilian jails such as Cairo’s Scorpion prison, Helmy said: “Scorpion is an official prison under the supervision of the prosecution and it’s visible. But Azouli is in a military area. It’s forbidden for any civilians to go inside.

    “When we ask the civil prosecution to investigate people inside Azouli, they say they don’t have any jurisdiction to go there. So it’s a place where military intelligence can take their time and torture people without any oversight.”

    At Azouli, prisoners subjected to systematic torture lack even a hypothetical legal redress.

    “It gives you an idea of how confident the security forces are today,” said Amnesty’s Mohamed Elmessiry.

    “They don’t care about the rule of law. They are holding people for over 90 days and subjecting them to ongoing torture without any judicial oversight. These practices are a devastating blow to detainees’ rights, as enshrined under both Egyptian and international law.”

    As Khaled, one of the three survivors, summarised: “Your whole life there is a living tomb. No one knows anything about where you are.”

    A senior military officer acknowledged the existence of Azouli prison, but did not respond within a fortnight to specific written allegations, and turned down a request to visit the jail.

    • Additional reporting by Manu Abdo. All detainees’ names have been changed.

    Egypt’s hidden prison: ‘disappeared’ face torture in Azouli military jail | World news | The Guardian

    Thursday, June 19, 2014

    ISIS fighting for a new 'House of War'

    By Matthew Dal Santo

    Fighters of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) stand guard at a checkpoint in Mosul. Photo: Fighters from ISIS stand guard at a checkpoint in the northern Iraq city of Mosul. (Reuters)

    ISIS's stated aim is the revival of a caliphate - a Sunni super state that would collapse the colonial-era boundaries between Syria and upper and western Iraq. But even if they are defeated, the tribal and sectarian forces that bedevil the Middle East's modern state system will remain, writes Matthew Dal Santo.

    With ISIS, the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, still threatening Baghdad, Iraq appears to be sliding back to a state of civil war. But ISIS is far from a terrorist organisation like the rest. What does its advance say about the long-term evolution of the geopolitics of the Middle East?

    According to my Bedouin guide, world history knew three great figures in addition to the Prophet Muhammad: American President George W Bush (whom he despised); Napoleon, emperor of the French (whom he admired); and the Roman Emperor Justinian (whom he revered). He was 16 years old and helping me down the side of Mount Sinai as night closed in above the fabled monastery of St Catherine, where Moses reputedly beheld the Burning Bush.

    We talked about science, religion and politics. It was November 2010 and, in Egypt at least, the protests that would build into the 'Arab Spring' were yet to gather.

    Four years later, with Syria engulfed in fighting and ISIS's Sunni rebels in pursuit of a revived caliphate stretching from Aleppo to the doorstep of Baghdad, I better appreciate his chronology's simple elegance.

    Justinian (527-65) was among the last to rule over a Christian Eastern Mediterranean, from Constantinople to Antioch, Jerusalem and Alexandria; across the Euphrates, the Zoroastrian kings of Persia dominated from the baking plains of Mesopotamia deep into Central Asia.

    Muhammad, whose revolutionary teachings would transform this world, was born shortly after. Dissolving the Euphrates barrier, his successors would build a caliphate from Spain to the Hindu Kush. With famed capitals first at Damascus, then at Baghdad, it would unite the whole Middle East under a single ruler for the first time since Alexander some 900 years before.

    There at Sinai, Justinian's fame was easy to understand. He had, my guide said, entrusted the monks to the keeping of his tribe. He wasn't exactly sure when, but it was before Napoleon. I had heard about the legend before, as I had of the decree the Prophet had himself signed, instructing his followers to leave the monastery's Christian occupants unharmed. The monks guarded it jealously.

    The French emperor, by contrast, was a parvenu. I could only guess at why he loomed so large in my guide's mind.

    Napoleon on horseback, from the exhibition Napoleon Revolution to Empire exhibition Photo: Napoleon marked the start of the colonial and neo-colonial meddling that had followed him. (National Gallery of Victoria: Napoleon Revolution to Empire)

    Napoleon's expedition to Egypt had been brief and, strategically, a disaster. Arriving in July 1798 with a force of 40,000 Frenchmen, he planned an Egyptian empire that would make France a global power. A month later, Nelson sank the French fleet. His dream ruined, Napoleon slipped back to France to march the Grande Armée from one end of Europe to the other.

    Napoleon was nonetheless the first to see in Egypt - then a restive, semi-autonomous governorate among the Ottoman lands of the Middle East - a launching pad against British India. London woke to the strategic value of the Middle East. And fears of another European power - France or Russia - dominating the region would drive British policy for the next 150 years. When the First World War eliminated the Ottomans, it would culminate in the rash of originally British-and French-sponsored states that populate the region today.

    In 1917, Britain had promised the hereditary Sunni keepers of Mecca and Medina an independent Arab kingdom, a 'Greater Syria'. But at almost every stage in the drawing of the region's modern borders, their wishes were subordinated to the greater interests of empire and the satisfaction of conflicting war-time alliances with the French and Zionist Jews.

    Where for centuries great, regional empires (Ayyubid and Mamluk Egypt, Safavid and Qajar Persia, Seljuk and Ottoman Turkey) had dominated the Middle East, there suddenly emerged a system of artificial nation states that corresponded in no way to the region's tribal loyalties, sectarian identities and mental geography.

    But in a place of such mixing - Sunni, Shia, Christian, Jew, Druze and other religions and sub-groups besides - how could it?

    Perhaps, then, in my young guide's mind, Napoleon stood for all the colonial and neo-colonial meddling that had followed him: the drawing and redrawing of borders by Britain and France; and, after the Second World War, the protective mantle of American alliances, alternately prized and resented. And under George W Bush, direct Western domination returned to Iraq.

    But Obama's abrupt termination of the American operations there in 2011, determination not to be drawn into the Syrian Civil War, and reluctance now to send more than a training mission to bolster Iraq's scattered armed forces following the fall of Mosul to ISIS suggest that the will even to defend this originally Western-designed Middle Eastern order may tacitly be crumbling.

    What will take its place?

    ISIS's stated aim is the revival of a caliphate stretching from the Mediterranean to the Zagros - a Sunni super state that would collapse the colonial-era boundaries between Syria and upper and western Iraq. Its effect, if not its aim, would be the unravelling of the Western-imposed order that has organised this part of the Middle East since the end of the Ottomans.

    Explained: What is ISIS?

    With an estimated wealth of some $200-400m and the American weaponry left behind by the fleeing Iraqi army, it's already a terrorist group like no other.

    Mr Obama has ruled out land troops and, so far, airstrikes. But if ISIS continues its push, he will be forced to send more than the few hundred American advisers on their way to Baghdad. If America doesn't act, Iran will.

    Even if ISIS is defeated, in Syria and Iraq the tribal and sectarian forces that bedevil the Middle East's modern state system will remain. While Iraq's great rivers flow down from (mostly) Sunni northern Syria, at their delta in the Gulf they meet the mountains of (mainly) Shia Iran. Though no Middle Eastern state is monolithic, few are as mixed Sunni and Shia as these lands which, a few decades after Muhammad's death, witnessed the defining early battles between them.

    As some analysts have pointed out, a specifically Sunni State of Syria and Iraq has never existed; it won't easily be created.

    Where the desert carves the great bow out of the Fertile Crescent, Greater Syria has always been the region's uneasy fulcrum. Linking the world of Egypt and Arabia to the Taurus and the mountainous Iranian plateau of the Zagros in the north, for centuries it's been a transit route for trade and a battleground of empires. The Old Testament depicts an Israel caught here between Pharaoh to the south and Hittites, Assyrians or Medes to the north: long before it was a term of eschatology, Armageddon was the name of a great regional battle.

    The 'House of War' is sometimes said to designate those lands not yet the home of Islam. If ISIS has its way, it may soon become a better description of its heartland.

    Matthew Dal Santo is a freelance writer and foreign affairs correspondent. He previously worked for the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. View his full profile here.

    Just two years after the withdrawal of US troops, Iraq has again been plunged into sectarian-fuelled violence and chaos.
    Terrorist group ISIS (Islamic State of Iraq and Syria) has routed the Iraqi army in the north of the country and seized the country's second largest city.
    The country, which was invaded by a coalition led by the US in 2003, has been riven along religious and ethnic lines for the past decade and faces an uncertain future.
    At the heart of the conflict is distrust between the two branches of Islam in the country - Sunni and Shia - a divide replicated throughout the Middle East.

    ISIS fighting for a new 'House of War' - The Drum (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

    Tuesday, June 17, 2014

    A love letter: the enormous power of fonts

    By Stephen Banham Posted Mon 16 Jun 2014

    Don't underestimate the font

    Photo: You don't need to know the history of a font to appreciate it because it will invariably convey its provenance to you on the page as you will read it, hear it and feel it. (Eloise Fuss)

    A few months ago a rare thing happened: typography hit the headlines. It shouldn't be so surprising, because the power of fonts to convey clarity and "voice" to words is enormous, writes Stephen Banham.

    A few months ago a rare thing happened: typography hit the headlines.

    Suvir Mirchandani, a 14-year-old schoolboy from Pittsburgh calculated that the US state and federal governments could save nearly $US400 million a year (24 per cent of its printing costs) by changing their current typeface, Times New Roman, to Garamond.

    Although this news story could be read as a tale of mini-economising and the inability of a monolithic institution to embrace it, it is even more compelling because it brings into focus the details of the typeset page and more specifically, the typed font.

    Seeing the potential print savings from using one font over another brings into question the structure of fonts - their weight, structure, clarity and above all, their voice.

    I say voice because that is the most appropriate and descriptive parallel when trying to understand typography. It's a well-used metaphor in typography textbooks simply because it works.

    Each font is said to have its own tone, volume and pitch. Typographic hierarchies can steadily build to a crescendo or dance across the page in a syncopated rhythm.

    The repetition of certain letters or words within a paragraph can set up a playful rhythm while the bold weights of the font can bring in the percussive bass, and so on.

    This, of course, was explored most interestingly in the concrete poetry movements of the mid 20th century.

    In more recent years the appeal of typography has gone "mainstream" - many internationally bestselling books have been based on topics once considered the exclusive territory of the nerd, namely the finer points of typography and punctuation.

    Simon Garfield's Just My Type and Lyn Truss's Eats, Shoots and Leaves: The Zero Tolerance Approach to Punctuation are perhaps the best known of these respective fields. Visit any home wares store and everything from tea towels to bedding is festooned with alphabets of all descriptions.

    Type is hip and everybody has an opinion. I know this because fewer people greet me with a blank look in casual social situations when I state my profession as "typographer" - and no, it's not somebody who makes maps from an aerial perspective (that's topography). Rather than being considered "invisible" as many claim it to be, it is perhaps better described as "ever-present".

    You don't need to know about the history of a font to appreciate it because it will invariably convey its provenance to you on the page as you read it, hear it and feel it. Even when you read a font as ubiquitous as Times, it will carry over its sense of formal structure and considered legibility.

    It will carry a voice of authority and perhaps even display its Englishness (designed as it was for The Times newspaper). Built for the unforgiving newsprint presses of the 1930s, its digital translation carries over these pragmatic, no-nonsense qualities to the very font you use today on your laptop every day.*

    But it's not just the "black stuff" (the appearing type) that can reflect something of our lives. Even the space between the letters can change depending on the fashion of the times.

    The exploratory optimism of the 1970s science-fiction era led to typography that was wide and expansive (think of Eurostile or the broad proportions of titling for films like Close Encounters of the Third Kind, Star Wars etc.) whilst the turbulent 1960s sexual revolution with all its progressive forms of intimacy saw fonts (such as Avant Garde) set so tight they were likewise perpetually touching each other.

    Like all cultural forms, typography can express who we are and what we think as well as just what we read.

    That internal "little voice" one hears when reading really does affect our interpretation of the content - if it didn't I wouldn't have a job and I certainly wouldn't be writing this article right now.

    Because you're reading this on a web page and not a printed, proofed page I have no control whatsoever over the kind of voice you're hearing me in. So I encourage you to copy and paste this text into another file and set it in the different fonts.

    Depending on your font you choose, you'll be able to hear my voice go loud, bombastic, shy, bloated, formal or just plain silly. So please be kind.

    * This is a slight simplification as there are more than a dozen digital interpretations of Times currently available.

    Stephen Banham is a Melbourne-based typographer, writer and educator. View his full profile here.

    A love letter: the enormous power of fonts - The Drum (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

    Sunday, June 15, 2014

    Shia militia: 'Isis will not take Baghdad'

    Martin Chulov The Observer, Sunday 15 June 2014

    The militiamen in the capital have drawn a clear line in the sand and say that they will stand firm

    iraq

    Volunteers, who have joined the fight against predominantly Sunni militants, carry weapons during a parade in the streets in Baghdad's Sadr city. Photograph: Reuters

    After five days of siege and foreboding, the citizens of Baghdad breathed easier on Saturday. Old-world tea houses were once again brimming. So were new militia recruitment centres, where would-be fighters signed up to defend the capital.

    The city's collective relief stemmed from three live television addresses, only one of them made by an Iraqi. On Friday, President Barack Obama said enough to convince most that he would soon send US jets to deal with the insurgents at the gates. Hours later the Iranian president, Hassan Rouhani, said an alarmed Iran, which is overwhelmingly Shia, would send whatever it took to stem the insurgent Sunni tide. The alliance of common interests was perceived as a rebuff to Isis (the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant), a jihadist group so hard-line it was disowned by al-Qaida. Isis has been rampaging through the country, pledging to rewrite the region's borders.

    But it was a religious cleric who succeeded in steeling Iraqis for a fight back. The call to arms by the highest Shia authority in the land, Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, mobilised in less than one day around a division of militia men who, unlike the military, will not run from a fight with the insurgents.

    Help is clearly on the way. And it could not come soon enough for many. "I heard the US president speak and his words seemed reasonable," said tribal leader Sheikh Abu Wissam al-Saade at a recruitment centre in the eastern suburb of Karrada, as three new volunteers arrived wanting to fight. "I would say one thing, though, he is partly to blame for this mess. He's been refusing to send us fighter jets for the past six years, because [Kurdish leader Massoud] Barzani has warned him not to."

    One scrawny recruit signing on with his brother said: "I have come to fight for the sake of my country. This place has been through a lot."

    Karrada wears the scars of insurgency more than most places in Baghdad, with up to five bombs a month shattering its glitzy shopfronts since US forces withdrew. Ground zero of the current threat, however, is around 60 miles to the north. Here, and in the city's vulnerable western approaches, the new volunteers are already preparing to confront Isis.

    Iraq's immediate future seems sure to be determined by non-state actors and powerful foreign patrons. So much for the state, which has done little more than reel in horror ever since the fall of its three largest cities to a small insurgent force in less than one week.

    "With the scale of this crisis, all of the military units and the militia groups have melted into each other," said al-Saade. "The fighting force against Da'ash [Isis] has become a common entity."

    Those in the provinces contacted by the Observer revealed that they had already dispatched upwards of 15,000 men – most without training – to Baghdad or beyond. Dhi Qaa Yehya Mohammed Bakr said his province had already sent 2,500 fighters to Baghdad, while 25,000 have signed up around the province. Columns of minibuses, some escorted by police trucks, snaked along almost empty highways from the south all day on Saturday.

    Signs of Shia fervour once again blending with militancy were commonplace in Baghdad . Military trucks carrying tonnes of ammunition pulled out of bases waving flags depicting the revered Shia martyrs, Hussein and Abbas. There was no sign of the Iraqi banners that were only a week earlier a far more frequent sight.

    As their fight back begins, Baghdad and the south are openly rallying around sectarian symbols rather than a national cause. Nevertheless, the rapid response to Sistani's call to arms, and the comfort drawn from the prospect of imminent heavyweight firepower, has transformed the jihadist push into a counter insurgency. In one extraordinary week, Iraq has gone from relative safety to mortal danger. It now teeters somewhere in between.

    Lost in the tumult between Sunni insurgents and Shia militias has been the moment of reckoning for the Kurds of the north. As the week closed, the extent of the Kurds' moves to capitalise on the central government crisis was becoming clear. The dramatic entry of the Kurdish Peshmurga forces into the disputed city of Kirkuk changed the balance of power between the seat of Kurdish power, Erbil, and Baghdad. Just as significant was the Peshmurga's move into other disputed areas, nearly as far south as Baquba.

    One Iraqi army sergeant stationed in Jalula in central Iraq said that he was shocked as the Peshmurga rolled into his base last Thursday.

    "They arrived at the battalion and talked to my commander and told him to surrender the whole unit's equipment and ammunition. They said they had spoken with the brigade commander. They said 'Da'ash is on its way and it will be your responsibility'.

    "My commander called the brigade and he told them to give them what they wanted. He said he had spoken to the division leaders.

    "They arrived in civilian cars and packed more weapons in the trunks, and they filmed us with their cell phones as we left. Then they raised the Kurdish flag over our base. Overnight the Kurds became a state."

    Other soldiers and officers claimed similar curious capitulations were repeated in other bases in the centre and north of the country.

    "This is a festival for the Kurds," said a second man back at the Karrada recruitment centre. "We are in this situation because of them. They are greedy and totally self-interested. That doesn't surprise me, but the collaboration of the Iraqi commanders is truly a shock and needs to be explained."

    The besieged Iraqi leader Nouri al-Maliki seems unlikely to be able to do that. Some of the accused generals are reported to have moved back into their homes in the green zone. Others have taken refuge with the Kurds.

    What remains of the Iraqi military is preparing to defend Baghdad. But the re-emergence of the militias, and of the enigmatic leader of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Quds Force, Qassem Suleimani, who arrived in Baghdad on Friday, probably implies that they will not play a dominant role.

    Hassan Rouhani's suggestion that Iran and the US could work together to defeat Isis is a new twist on "my enemy's enemy is my friend", but one that is sure to make life difficult for the insurgent group in the weeks and months ahead.

    "They [Isis] have a very effective media arm," said a senior Iraqi official. "They could actually teach the west about the art of propaganda. But when a real force stands and fights them – as they will in Baghdad – they cannot take this city."

    Iraqi tribal leaders and officials are also banking on Isis being unable to maintain the hearts-and-minds approach it has adopted with the Sunni towns and cities, some of which appears to have paid off for them.

    "You tell me what you would do if you were me," said Mustafa al-Rai, a mechanic from Mosul who has stayed in the city. "Maliki's people and military were persecuting us. They were treating us like we were rubbish on their soles. Now we have Sunnis coming to town promising to change that. They don't share my beliefs, but they are being reasonable to us."

    Iraq's Sunnis have already encountered a previous incarnation of Isis, which from 2004-07 ran roughshod over Anbar province and much of Mosul. With the help of the US army, tribal leaders ousted them, and for several years they remained defeated. The Syrian civil war changed that, proving to be a lightning rod used to reignite their ambitions. And throughout 2013 the group was again ruthlessly imposing its will over northern and eastern Syria. This year a local uprising ousted them once more. "What makes you think it will be different this time?" asked al-Rai.

    "They will soon reveal their colours. And by then, the new friends [Iran and the US] may have helped us out."

    Additional reporting by Yousif al-Timimi

    Shia militia: 'Isis will not take Baghdad' | World news | The Observer

    Egypt needs a fair and firm leader – not a hero

    Mohammed Nosseir

    By Mohammed Nosseir Daily News Egypt  /   June 14, 2014 

    Egyptians are looking for a hero, a person who will magically solve their problems with minimal contribution on their part.. Egypt’s current president, aware of this issue, capitalised on this fragile emotional bond to garner additional votes and reinforce his popularity. It would be a serious mistake for President Al-Sisi to believe that his compatriots love him unconditionally, however. On the contrary; Egyptians will bestow the status of hero upon him so that he can meet their demands; not fulfilling their expectations means that they will quickly abandon him.

    Egypt does not, in reality, need a hero. The country needs a fair and firm leader, someone who has an understanding of the concept of justice and who can apply firmness steadfastly. Unfortunately however, President Al-Sisi, with his strong military background, has presented himself as the strongman that the country needs, and is leaning more towards firmness and less towards fairness.

    Egyptians, who have always been proud of bending the law (even in cases where there is no need to do so), who deliberately lead chaotic lives, and who are known for their fondness of illegal shortcuts, often look for a strict leader capable of organising and disciplining them – a big brother who, in order to improve their lives, will punish them when they make mistakes. Thus, Al-Sisi’s appeal as a strongman attracts many Egyptians, including sideliners who are willing to comply with this type of strictness eventually.

    Nevertheless, implementing firmness does not require a person to be cruel. Firmness involves delivering the message that all law-breakers will be justly penalised, thereby minimising the number of crimes committed. However, what has been happening in Egypt for decades and up to the present is the introduction, and very harsh application, of laws that favour the rulers and the marginalisation of laws that do not serve the government or its affiliates. Successful implementation of strictness is reflected in the reduction and prevention of crime; not in the exercise of harshness towards citizens while crime rates continue to rise.

    Unlike strictness, for which there is some demand by Egyptians, the concept of fairness, or justice, constitutes a great dilemma. Egyptians view fairness from a very narrow perspective, with each citizen believing that whatever suits his or her needs and desires is fair. Furthermore, regardless of his identity, the person who comes to power in Egypt is utterly convinced that his opponents deserve harsh treatment and that the application of extremely severe rules upon them puts him on the right side of history. The concept of double standards is widely applied in Egypt (sadly, this is often done unconsciously).

    A ruler’s perspectives should not be involved in his application of justice or firmness – even when the ruler in question is a hero, a popular president, or one who has been elected by a vast majority of citizens. Basically, the rule of law is a tool that helps to combine the qualities of fairness and firmness. Laws must be issued by a genuinely representative parliament and be supported by key political forces and intellectuals – which is certainly not the case in Egypt. In my opinion, the law regulating popular demonstrations issued by the past interim government does not comply with any of the above conditions.

    If Hamdeen Sabahy, who seems to have a better understanding of justice and fairness, had won the presidency, he would face great difficulties in mobilising Egypt’s corrupt ”Deep State” to implement these concepts, since this would necessitate fundamental internal reforms which State institutions can be expected to stubbornly resist. The “Deep State” accordingly would have done its utmost to portray Sabahy as a weak president who is incapable of leading the country.

    Meanwhile, with a military background of over four decades, President Al-Sisi appears to be a leader who wishes to play the combined roles of judge and jury. I anticipate that his policies and decisions will be largely influenced by his personal experiences and understanding, rather than by any sound advice put forth by skilled experts, or by reliance on a truly representative parliament to make critical decisions.

    The fact that both qualities (strictness and justice) are not to be found in a single person is a reflection of the recent evolution of society as a whole. Egyptian society today is one that happily applies double standards, is driven by individual interest rather than by rapidly vanishing communal needs and values, and that, in many cases, turns a blind eye to bending the law. There is no doubt that the State-deployed media has contributed to shaping the current deteriorating state of affairs.

    Believing that Egyptians today favour firmness over fairness would be a misconception. It is common knowledge that Egyptians are currently polarised into two groups. The group who supports the current regime and manipulates the media appreciates firmness (to the extent of cruelty), convinced that such conduct will restore security on a national scale. The remaining portion of the population, who believes in the inherent injustice of the current political status, is not bothered by the lack of security and is even ready to instigate acts of violence in order to promote social insecurity.

    President Al-Sisi must work towards establishing a fair society. He should implement social justice firmly without depending solely on his personal understanding of the problems at hand and on the support of his affiliates. Rather than undertake the hasty manoeuvres of a hero, over-promising and under-delivering, he needs to adopt a scientific approach towards tackling our socioeconomic challenges; a realistic approach that would give genuine hope to society. Let us hope that these attributes of leadership will be realised in the near future.

    Mohammed Nosseir is an Egyptian Liberal Politician working on reforming Egypt on true liberal values, proper application of democracy and free market economy. Mohammed was member of the Higher Committee, Headed the International Relations of the Democratic Front Party from 2008 to 2012.

    Egypt needs a fair and firm leader – not a hero - Daily News Egypt

    Iraq crisis: Advance of ISIS insurgents slows as US orders carrier to Gulf

     

    An offensive by insurgents that threatens to split Iraq seemed to slow on Saturday after days of lightning advances as government forces regained some territory in counter-attacks, easing pressure on the Shiite-led government in Baghdad.

    Kurdish security forces take their positions during clashes with ISIS in Kirkuk 

    Photo: Kurdish security forces take positions during clashes with ISIS in the outskirts of Kirkuk. (Reuters: Azad Lashkari)

    Related Story: Iraqi troops retake town, prepare counter-attack against ISIS militants

    As Iraqi officials spoke of wresting back the initiative against Sunni militants, neighbouring Shiite Iran held out the prospect of working with its long-time arch-enemy the United States to help restore security in Iraq.

    US president Barack Obama said on Friday he was reviewing military options, short of sending combat troops, to combat the insurgency.

    The US ordered an aircraft carrier moved into the Gulf on Saturday, readying it in case Washington decides to pursue a military option after insurgents overran towns and territories in the north and advanced on Baghdad.

    Thousands of people responded to a call by Iraq's most influential Shiite cleric to take up arms and defend the country against the insurgency, led by the Sunni militant Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS).

    Explained: What is ISIS?

    International correspondent Mark Corcoran takes a look at the feared insurgent group currently poised to march on Baghdad.

    In a visit to the city of Samarra, prime minister Nouri al-Maliki vowed to rout the insurgents, whose onslaught has put the future of Iraq as a unitary state in question and raised the spectre of sectarian conflict.

    The militant gains have alarmed both Mr Maliki's Shiite supporters in Iran and the US, which helped bring him to power after invading the country and toppling former Sunni dictator Saddam Hussein in 2003.

    Oil prices have jumped over fears of ISIS disrupting exports from Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries member Iraq.

    But having encountered little resistance in majority Sunni areas, the militants have now come up against the army, which clawed back some towns and territory around Samarra on Saturday with the help of Shiite militia.

    "We have regained the initiative and will not stop at liberating Mosul from [ISIS] terrorists, but all other parts [of Iraq]," Major-General Qassim al-Moussawi, spokesman for the Iraqi military's commander-in-chief, said.

    Militants in control of Tikrit, 45 kilometres north of Samarra, planted landmines and roadside bombs at the city's entrances, apparently anticipating a counter-attack by government forces.

    Residents said the militants deployed across the city and moved anti-aircraft guns and heavy artillery into position.

    Families began to flee north in the direction of Kirkuk, an oil-rich city which Kurdish forces occupied on Thursday after the Iraqi army fled.

    Iraqi army regains towns with counter attacks

    Security sources said Iraqi troops attacked an ISIS formation in the town of al-Mutasim, 22 kilometres south-east of Samarra, driving militants out into the surrounding desert on Saturday.

    The army also reasserted control over the small town of Ishaqi, south-east of Samarra, to secure a road that links the city to Baghdad and the cities of Tikrit and Mosul further north.

    Troops backed by the Shiite Asaib Ahl al-Haq militia helped retake the town of Muqdadiya north-east of Baghdad, and ISIS was dislodged from Dhuluiya after three hours of fighting with tribesmen, local police and residents, a tribal leader said.

    In Udhaim, 90 kilometres north of Baghdad, the Asaib militia and police fought militants who earlier occupied the local municipal building, an official said, and they directed mortar fire at the government protection force of the Baiji oil refinery, Iraq's largest.

    Video: Explained: The Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) (Scott Bevan)

    Masked jihadists under the black flag of ISIS aim to revive a caliphate that would span a fragmenting Iraq and Syria, redrawing borders set by European colonial powers a century ago and menacing neighbours like Iran and Turkey.

    Mr Obama said on Friday he was reviewing US military options to help Iraq repel the insurgency.

    But he cautioned that any US intervention must be accompanied by an Iraqi government effort to bridge divisions between Shiite and Sunni communities.

    Iranian president Hassan Rouhani, asked at a televised news conference whether Tehran could work with the United States to tackle ISIS, said: "We can think about it if we see America starts confronting the terrorist groups in Iraq or elsewhere."

    "We all should practically and verbally confront terrorist groups," Mr Rouhani added, a relative moderate who has presided over a thaw in Iran's long antagonistic relations with the West.

    A senior Iranian official earlier this week said that Tehran, which has strong leverage in Shiite-majority Iraq, may be ready to cooperate with Washington against ISIS rebels.

    The official said the idea of cooperating with the Americans was being mooted within the Tehran leadership. For now, according to Iranian media, Iran will send advisers and weaponry, although probably not troops, to boost Baghdad.

    US officials said there were no contacts going on with Iran over the crisis in Iraq.

    More on this story:

    Reuters

    Iraq crisis: Advance of ISIS insurgents slows as US orders carrier to Gulf - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

    Friday, June 13, 2014

    Trail of jihadist victories in Iraq could force renewed military action from US

    Martin Chulov in Baghdad The Guardian, Friday 13 June 2014

    Barack Obama looking to help government after Isis seizes Mosul and Tikrit and closes on Baghdad while Kurds take Kirkuk

    Armed Kurdish soldiers

    Kurdish peshmerga forces at the last Peshmergas checkpoint outside of Mosul. which has been taken over by Isis. Photograph: Romina Pe Ate/Demotix/Corbis

    Barack Obama has set the stage for renewed US military action in Iraq after the authorities in Baghdad proved powerless to stop relentless Islamist insurgents from seizing further swaths of a country in danger of breaking apart.

    The US president said his national security chiefs were looking at any and every way they could help the Iraqi authorities take the fight to thousands of Sunni jihadists who have seized three of the country's biggest cities and vowed to march on Baghdad.

    "We do have a stake in making sure that these jihadists are not getting a permanent foothold in either Iraq or Syria, for that matter," Obama said, adding that there were "short-term, immediate things that will need to be done militarily – and our national security team is looking at all the options". US troops withdrew from Iraq in late 2011 after an eight-year occupation of the country that began with the 2003 invasion. On Thursday the US began airlifting planeloads of its citizens from Iraq.

    Kurdish fighters poured into the disputed northern city of Kirkuk to head off the militants from Isis, the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant, whose fighters have surged through the north in recent days, encountering little or no resistance from Iraqi army troops who have deserted in their thousands. Isis took the town of Dhuluiyah and was within 60 miles of the capital, local people said. Hundreds of thousands of people have been uprooted by the militant advance. The UN security council was meeting to discuss the sudden crisis.

    The Iraqi prime minister, Nouri al-Maliki, offered no reaction as the cities of Mosul and Tikrit fell from his control in the space of three days. He failed to achieve a quorum in parliament needed to impose a state of emergency, and also failed to win the numbers to ask the UN for air strikes and drone attacks against Isis.

    The streets of Baghdad were eerie and empty as Isis members took to social media taunting residents that they were advancing towards the capital. Local people have been stockpiling food, fearing that a much talked about enemy is almost at the city's gates.

    "They are only 40 miles away," said Fadhil Muthanar, a trader in east Baghdad. "They are hiding in the reeds, in the ruins, waiting to come to the capital. And the Iraqi army can do nothing. Perhaps it will defend the Green Zone [seat of power]. But nothing more. God help us all."

    Iraqi officials estimate the total number of Isis forces in Iraq at around 6,000, spread between Mosul, Ramadi, Falluja, Tikrit and the surrounding countryside.

    Isis has been handing out flyers in the towns it has seized assuring residents who have remained that it is there to protect their interests. The campaign for hearts and minds is gaining some traction, with some residents railing against perceived injustices at the hands of the Shia majority government. But on Thursday it said it would introduce sharia law in Mosul and other towns, warning women to stay indoors and threatening to cut off the hands of thieves. "People, you have tried secular regimes ... This is now the era of the Islamic State," it proclaimed.

    Among those who took control of Tikrit were large numbers of former Ba'ath party members. Ba'athists were the cornerstone of Saddam Hussein's regime and have been persecuted ever since. Residents of Tikrit said some insurgents were wearing the drab green military fatigues worn by Saddam's army. "There are no Isis flags in town," said one local woman. "They are playing Saddam and Ba'ath party songs."

    The Kurdish regional government, which has made much of its autonomy since Saddam was toppled, dismissed the prospect of Isis fighters advancing into its seat of power. A Kurdish minister, Sheikh Jaafar Mustafa, said: "This will not happen because we will defend Kirkuk to the last drop of our blood, and I am sure the youth will voluntarily defend that part of Kurdistan."

    Kurdish commanders and officials could barely hide their euphoria after being handed a reason to seize Kirkuk – an ethnically contested enclave at the heart of tensions between Baghdad and Erbil since well before 2003. In scenes reminiscent of the fall of Baghdad 11 years ago, Kurdish troops, known as peshmerga, stood by as Kurds and local people looted Iraqi security bases in Kirkuk, carrying away weapons and office furniture, and driving off with armoured Humvees. Some peshmurga appeared to join in the looting.

    In open defiance of Baghdad, to which the KRG is notionally subservient, Mustafa said the peshmerga felt free to travel anywhere in the country. "Sending peshmerga to any part of Iraq has to be according to plan and on the formal orders of the Kurdish president, who is the commander of Kurdistan's armed forces," he said. "Then the peshmerga will be ready to go anywhere."

    While happy to celebrate the symbolism implicit in controlling Kirkuk, Kurdish leaders were reluctant to frame the move as a leap towards a claim for statehood. But with central governance collapsing, Baghdad fears that the Kurds will, at the very least, consolidate control of Kirkuk.

    Peshmerga forces mocked the Iraqi army on Thursday, holding up uniforms and weapon clips that troops had discarded as they fled. Most Kurds were driven out of Kirkuk during the Saddam years and only limited numbers have been able to return since the fall of the ousted dictator and the turbulent years that have followed. A mooted referendum on the province has long been delayed. Large oilfields near the city remain targets of the insurgents who aim to cause as much disruption as possible to state utilities.

    In nearby Samara, where insurgents have been negotiating with Iraqi army officials, car dealer Taher Hassan said militants had turned up on Sunday and quickly taken control of most of the city.

    He said: "All the local police forces have pulled out of their bases in the city. The fighters are negotiating with the tribes who are in charge of the two shrines so they can try to convince army forces near the shrine to hand themselves over without a fight.Everyone in Samara is happy with the fighters' management of the city. They have proved to be professional and competent. The fighters themselves did not harm or kill anyone as they swept forward. Any man who hands over his arm is safe, whatever his background. This attitude is giving a huge comfort to people here. We have lived enough years of injustice, revenge and tyranny and we can't stand any more."

    Fazel Hawramy in Kirkuk and Mona Mahmood contributed to this report.

    Trail of jihadist victories in Iraq could force renewed military action from US | World news | The Guardian

    Thursday, June 12, 2014

    ISIS explained: Islamic State of Iraq and Syria poised to march on Baghdad

    By Mark Corcoran and Freya Petersen, additional reporting from Reuters

    ISIS militants wave a flag in Iraq Photo: An image grab taken from a propaganda video uploaded on June 11, 2014 allegedly shows ISIS militants at an undisclosed location in Iraq's Nineveh province. (AFP: Ho/ISIS)

    Related Story: Leader of Iraq insurgents is jihad's rising star

    Related Story: ISIS militants expand across northern Iraq, seize city of Tikrit

    Related Story: Ex-adviser says strength of ISIS militants underestimated

    Related Story: Thousands flee as insurgents seize Iraq's second largest city

    "We are fighting devils, not ordinary people" an Iraqi police captain told Reuters on Wednesday, after fleeing from ISIS rebels who swept into Tikrit, home town of former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein.

    After a series of stunning victories, the black battle flags of ISIS also fly over Iraq's second city Mosul and the Sunni strongholds of Fallujah and Ramadi that were captured in January.

    More than 500,000 Mosul residents have now fled the city.

    Rolling in from the desert in convoys of pick-up trucks, ISIS fighters have outsmarted and outfought Iraq's 1 million strong security forces, trained and equipped by the US at a cost of $US25 billion.

    The insurgents' main fighting force is now poised less than 150 kilometres from the capital Baghdad.

    Reuters reported that in Sadr city, a Shiite slum in Baghdad, men were stockpiling weapons in anticipation of a battle against ISIS.

    "The army has proven to be a big failure. People have begun to depend on themselves because ISIS may enter Baghdad any minute," Muhannad al-Darraji from Sadr City told Reuters.

    ISIS supporters may already be active in the capital. At about the same time, a suicide bomber blew himself up in Sadr City, killing at least 38 people. A further 18 people were killed when a car bomb exploded near the northern Kadhimiya district, where there is a Shiite shrine.

    So what is ISIS?

    Video: Explained: The Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) (Scott Bevan)

    The Sunni Islamist militant group the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), also known as Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL), is considered so extreme, it has been disavowed by its original sponsor, Al Qaeda.

    The jihadist group has mounted hundreds of attacks in Syria since the start of the civil war in 2011.

    But the ambitions of ISIS stretch far beyond deposing president Bashar al-Assad. The ultimate objective is the establishment of an extremist Islamic caliphate across the region, incorporating Syria, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, Israel and the Palestinian Territories.

    Other Islamist rebels have accused ISIS of being "worse than the Assad regime".

    In 2013, German newspaper Der Spiegel reported that the group had kidnapped hundreds of people, including activists, politicians, Christian priests and several foreign journalists, adding that "anyone who opposes the ISIS fighters, or who is simply considered an unbeliever, disappears".

    Der Spiegel cited an engineer who fled Syria after threats he said he received from the group as saying: "We call them the Army of Masks, because their men rarely show their faces. They dress in black, with their faces covered."

    ISIS militants driving near Tikrit 

    Photo: An image taken from an ISIS propaganda video purports to show militants driving near the central Iraqi city of Tikrit. (AFP/ISIS)

    Human rights abuses and ISIS's vision of creating an Islamic extremist state led to tensions with other Syrian rebel groups that soon escalated into open warfare.

    ISIS suffered setbacks after clashes with more moderate anti-government militias, but still controls an arc of territory across the north-east of Syria, stretching from the Turkish border across to the frontier with Iraq.

    The Syrian enclave, based around the northern city of Raqqa, provided the jumping off point for attacks into western Iraq.

    In January 2014, ISIS captured the city of Fallujah and large tracts of the surrounding Anbar province.

    Coming home - from Iraq to Syria and back again

    This latest campaign represents a kind of homecoming for the group that can trace its origins to the anarchy of the Iraq conflict.

    ISIS is led by a veteran Iraqi militant, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, who formed the Al Qaeda-affiliated Islamic State in Iraq in 2010.

    As the uprising against Syria's president escalated into civil war in 2011, Baghdadi sent trusted aid Abu Mohammad al-Golani across the border to establish another Al Qaeda affiliate, the Jabhat al-Nusra Front, recruiting members from rival militant groups.

    But as the popularity and influence of al-Golani's al-Nusra Front grew, Bagdhadi demanded the Syrian group merge back under his command. Al-Golani refused and the two sides clashed. Al Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahri sided with the Syrian faction.

    Undeterred, ISIS quickly expanded operations into Syria in 2012-13. Fighting not only Assad's army but other anti-government militia groups, ISIS soon developed a reputation for extreme brutality.

    Despite presenting itself as a paragon of strict Islamic virtue, the bulk of ISIS's financing, experts say, comes from illegal black market activities in Iraq, including robbery, arms trafficking, kidnapping and extortion, and even drug smuggling.

    In 2013, when Mosul was still nominally under the control of Iraq's government, ISIS was netting upwards of $8 million a month by extorting taxes from local businesses, according to the US-based Council on Foreign Relations (CFR).

    It'll be interesting to see what happens in Mosul over the next weeks. If they're pushed out in the next day or two, then that has much less strategic significance than if they're able to actually hold it.

    Former White House adviser Douglas Ollivant

    ISIS finances may soon be significantly bolstered, as the militants now occupy territory surrounding Iraq's largest oil refinery at Baiji, which is capable of producing 300,000 barrels a day.

    But it is the ability of the militants to capture Iraq's second city of 2 million people that has taken many Iraq-watchers by surprise.

    Douglas Ollivant, a former US army officer and adviser on Iraq to both presidents George W Bush and Barack Obama, told the ABC that the critical question now is how long the militants can hold Mosul.

    "It'll be interesting to see what happens in Mosul over the next weeks," he said.

    "If they're pushed out in the next day or two, then that has much less strategic significance than if they're able to actually hold it."

    ISIS fighting force numbers unclear

    ISIS fighters in the Iraqi desert Photo: ISIS militants show off their weapons in the Iraqi desert in a video released on June 11 (AFP: Ho/ISIS)

    ISIS has a reputation as a tough, experienced guerrilla force, but the group's exact combat strength remains unclear.

    Video released by the militants show convoys of fast-moving, lightly armed fighters in pickup trucks, reminiscent of the Taliban when they swept to power in Afghanistan in the mid-1990s.

    "We don't know how many jihadists are coming into ISIS from outside of country," Mr Ollivant said.

    "We don't know how many of the former insurgent groups have essentially joined ISIS, either formally or as their auxiliaries.

    "But if they have the combat power to push into Mosul, I think they have more strength than most outside analysts thought they had."

    The ranks of ISIS have reportedly been bolstered by thousands of foreign fighters

    The group claims to have recruited militants from across the Middle East, Europe, the UK , the US and south-east Asia, although it is impossible to confirm exactly how many are now in Iraq.

    International terrorist with $10m price on his head

    In October 2011 Washington declared ISIS supremo al-Baghdadi a leader of a terrorist organisation, offering a $10m bounty on his head.

    Who is Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi?


    Read more on the rising star of global jihad, the commanding leader of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria.

    The group has been similarly proscribed by the United Nations Security Council and the governments of Canada and New Zealand.

    In December 2013, the Australian Government declared ISIS to be "one of the world's deadliest and most active terrorist organisations".

    The Government said the militant group "conducts daily, often indiscriminate attacks" and "targets crowds and public gatherings during holidays and religious festivals to maximize casualties and publicity".

    ISIS replaced Al Qaeda in Iraq on Canberra’s terrorism list to reflect "the expansion of its operating area to include both Iraq and Syria".

    The December 2013 listing cited an estimated strength of around 2,500 mostly young Sunnis in Iraq, with the ranks bolstered by "a prison break at Abu Ghraib in July 2013 that freed hundreds of ISIL (ISIS) members, many of whom are still at large".

    The Australian Government estimated ISIS had another 5,000 fighters, including foreigners, in Syria, although "due to ISIL's Iraqi origins, a large number of its Syria-based senior operatives and leadership are Iraqi nationals".

    The listing cited a wave of executions, bombings of public places, and suicide attacks carried out by ISIS in Syria and Iraq in the last six months of 2013.

    ISIS explained: Islamic State of Iraq and Syria poised to march on Baghdad - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

    Sunday, June 8, 2014

    Greece’s protest parties: Syriza and other radicals

    May 31st 2014  ATHENS  From the print edition

    Anti-bail-out parties won two-fifths of the vote

    Golden Dawn on the march to Strasbourg

    IT COULD have been far worse. As pollsters had predicted, the ruling centre-right New Democracy party of Antonis Samaras, the prime minister, was pushed into second place in the European elections by Syriza, a far-left party led by Alexis Tsipras. His fiery anti-German rhetoric and threats to rip up Greece’s bail-out agreement find favour with austerity-battered Greeks. Another “protest” party, the neo-Nazi Golden Dawn, captured almost 10% of the vote and came third, even though its leaders are being held in jail on charges of running a criminal organisation.

    Yet Greece looks no more unstable than it did before the elections. Syriza’s margin of victory was just under four percentage points, not enough for Karolos Papoulias, the president, to heed Mr Tsipras’s demands for a snap general election. Mr Samaras’s coalition partner, the PanHellenic Socialist Movement (Pasok), running under a new centre-left umbrella called Elia (Olive Tree), did better than the opinion polls had forecast. Together, New Democracy and Elia finished four points ahead of Syriza. New Democracy also won 11 of 13 regional governor’s posts being contested in local elections held at the same time as the European vote.

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    A new left-of-centre party, To Potami (The River), took 6.5% of the vote, which would otherwise have gone to Pasok or Syriza. Founded at the start of the year by Stavros Theodorakis, a television journalist, it lost support as the election neared, with voters complaining that its campaign was poorly organised and its platform too vague, but it still got two MEPs.

    Mr Samaras’s coalition has only a two-seat majority in parliament, but Evangelos Venizelos, the Pasok leader, is now hopeful of winning back two prominent defectors sitting as independents. With six Golden Dawn lawmakers absent pending trial, it should be easier for Mr Samaras to push through parliament yet another set of structural reforms demanded by the European Union and the IMF. The reforms are a condition for Greece to continue talks with international creditors on reducing the public debt, still unsustainably high at 175% of GDP in 2013. If a debt deal is done this year, and if the economy picks up as expected, Greece’s chances of emerging from its bail-out programme would brighten.

    Some observers are puzzled that Syriza has so far been unable to topple Mr Samaras’s frail coalition. Six years of recession, an average fall in wages of around 30% and a jobless rate of 26.7%, have left Greeks angry and depressed. Voters made their feelings clear: anti-bail-out parties that won seats in the European Parliament together took more than 40% of the vote.

    Young Greeks are among Syriza’s most enthusiastic backers. The party promises to restore the minimum monthly wage to the pre-crisis level of €750 ($1020), hand out cash incentives to revive farming, renationalise companies that have been privatised and patch up the social safety net.

    Yet older voters are wary. Some members of Syriza’s radical faction still insist that Greece would do better by defaulting on its huge debt and leaving the euro. Manolis Glezos, a 91-year-old former communist who will be the oldest member of the European Parliament, suggests that the party’s welfare programme could be financed through a tax on bank deposits. Business people will keep a close eye on Rena Dourou, the first politician from Syriza to win a big administrative post. She edged out the Pasok incumbent to become governor of the Attica district surrounding Athens—a job with such a large budget, including a €10 billion chunk of EU funding, that the person who holds it is often described as a “mini-prime minister”.

    Greece’s protest parties: Syriza and other radicals | The Economist

    Egypt bans mosque preachers in crackdown on Islamists

    By REUTERS 09/10/2013 17:01

    Authorities will bar 55,000 unlicensed clerics from mosques.

    Clerics supporting deposed Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi

    Clerics supporting deposed Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi Photo: REUTERS

    CAIRO- Egyptian authorities will bar 55,000 unlicensed clerics from preaching in mosques in the latest move against sympathizers of deposed Islamist President Mohamed Morsi, the minister of religious endowments said on Tuesday.

    Egyptian authorities have been cracking down on Morsi's Muslim Brotherhood since the army toppled him on July 3 following mass protests against his rule.

    Minister of Endowments Mohamed Mokhtar Gomaa said the clerics lack licenses to preach and were considered to be fundamentalist and a threat to the Egypt's security.
    The ban will mainly target small unlicensed mosques or random praying areas. The idea is to spread a moderate message of Islam and keep Egyptians away from radical ideas.

    "The decision is only meant to legalize the preaching process during Fridays' mass prayers and make only those authorized to do it, do it, Gomaa told Reuters.

    Authorities moved to crush the Brotherhood following the overthrow of Morsi, Egypt's first democratically leader. More than 2,000 Islamist activists have been arrested and most of the Brotherhood's leaders, including Morsi, jailed on charges of inciting or taking part in violence. Some have also been accused of terrorism or murder.

    Over the same period, more than 1,000 people have been killed in political violence. Most were protesters killed by security forces breaking up pro-Morsi camps in Cairo. About 100 were members of the security forces.

    Islamist attacks, mainly targeting security forces, have risen sharply in Egypt since Morsi's overthrow.

    A suicide car bomber blew himself up next to Interior Minister Mohamed Ibrahim's convoy last Thursday in a daylight attack in Cairo that killed a passer-by and an unidentified person and wounded 20.

    The military-led authorities consider the Brotherhood a terrorist group and discussions are underway on the possibility of banning it.

    SUPPORT FROM PUBLIC

    Previous secular governments tried to move against fundamentalist preachers and their mosques but failed to clamp down on them because of the wide influence of Islamists.

    The army and security forces now have backing from a large section of the public which was critical of Morsi's decision to give himself sweeping powers and his management of the fragile economy.

    In Geneva, Amnesty International called on Tuesday for an independent investigation into killings by the security forces as well as torture and violations of the rights to free speech and assembly.

    The military's overthrow of Morsi unleashed an "extreme level of political violence", the London-based group told the United Nations Human Rights Council in Geneva.

    "Between 14 and 18 August, at least 1,089 people were killed, many due to the use of excessive, grossly disproportionate and unwarranted lethal force by security forces," said Peter Splinter, Amnesty representative in Geneva.

    A impartial investigation was urgently needed into human rights violations, he said.
    On Monday, UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Navi Pillay reiterated her call for an independent inquiry into the killings, as well as her request to send a team to Egypt to assess the situation.

    Egypt bans mosque preachers in crackdown on Islamists | JPost | Israel News